Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 1.040930 1.175435 1.322510 1.495558 1.693962 1.914750 2.179651
2024-12-29 0.835605 1.015907 1.229724 1.503203 1.845436 2.261804 2.810152
2025-01-05 0.713845 0.909553 1.153995 1.484024 1.921454 2.486180 3.278258
2025-01-12 0.628587 0.832238 1.097674 1.472500 1.993803 2.701459 3.748970
2025-01-19 0.544769 0.744372 1.013843 1.408848 1.980849 2.791004 4.046733
2025-01-26 0.504963 0.710617 0.997569 1.433299 2.088978 3.056220 4.623666
2025-02-02 0.473160 0.683949 0.987050 1.462459 2.203703 3.339395 5.258363
2025-02-09 0.441542 0.653892 0.967680 1.474613 2.291180 3.586829 5.862918
2025-02-16 0.412737 0.625010 0.946683 1.480805 2.367729 3.822024 6.472572
2025-02-23 0.392320 0.606936 0.940130 1.508254 2.479945 4.125260 7.234631
2025-03-02 0.360357 0.567803 0.896642 1.470328 2.477032 4.230100 7.650258
2025-03-09 0.346295 0.556273 0.896511 1.504662 2.601388 4.569370 8.542682
2025-03-16 0.322779 0.527805 0.866830 1.486625 2.633197 4.749333 9.162259
2025-03-23 0.307065 0.511267 0.855982 1.500875 2.725523 5.052399 10.070750
2025-03-30 0.287229 0.486010 0.827825 1.480659 2.749989 5.226076 10.732423
2025-04-06 0.270640 0.465154 0.805689 1.469337 2.789873 5.433454 11.493399
2025-04-13 0.247881 0.431664 0.758304 1.405809 2.719706 5.408613 11.734542
2025-04-20 0.239429 0.423478 0.756505 1.430206 2.829670 5.770535 12.909587
2025-04-27 0.232177 0.416936 0.757163 1.459296 2.951933 6.172024 14.237212
2025-05-04 0.223268 0.406628 0.749832 1.471420 3.039014 6.505420 15.448455
2025-05-11 0.214273 0.395521 0.740095 1.477597 3.113485 6.818252 16.654996
2025-05-18 0.208289 0.389814 0.740485 1.504981 3.237743 7.260559 18.268020
2025-05-25 0.195625 0.370152 0.711636 1.467145 3.209455 7.336170 18.906432